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China: Stagnation to persist as growth model shifts – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao argues China’s housing market remains in structural stagnation five years after the Evergrande crisis. National prices follow an L-shaped path, with a K-shaped divergence between Tier-1 and lower-tier cities.
Mexican Peso tumbles as Iran war jitters, denting Peso’s appetite
The Mexican Peso loses traction against the Greenback, dropping over 0.65% during Friday’s North American session as the American currency benefits due to its safe-haven appeal as the US-Iran conflict is far from ending, despite holding talks to finish the war.
Japanese Yen: Verbal intervention fails to move JPY against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/JPY is little changed despite strong verbal intervention from Finance Minister Katayama, who warned of decisive action at any time. Markets remain unimpressed, given repeated rhetoric and limited impact from actual Yen buying.
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-30.7K from previous $-24.7K
Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-30.7K from previous $-24.7K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥-122.7K from previous ¥-123.8K
Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions increased to ¥-122.7K from previous ¥-123.8K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 75.7K to 62.7K
United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 75.7K to 62.7K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-71.3K from previous £-87.9K
United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions up to £-71.3K from previous £-87.9K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions climbed from previous €-16.2K to €-12.6K
Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions climbed from previous €-16.2K to €-12.6K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions: $-38.9K vs $-42.9K
United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions: $-38.9K vs $-42.9K
Singapore Dollar: Range trade holds near recent lows against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD has stabilised after an earlier sell-off, with spot around 1.2905 and intraday price action expected to stay confined between nearby support and resistance.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Bulls pause below 0.8150 as momentum fades
USD/CHF trades with a downside bias on Friday as the Swiss Franc (CHF) outperforms its major peers, while the US Dollar (USD) is little changed. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8074 after reaching 0.8149 earlier this week, its highest level since August 2025.
Euro steadies as markets weigh ECB and Fed interest rate expectations
EUR/USD trades flat on Friday as traders reassess the inflationary impact of surging Oil prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, which have disrupted energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.
British Pound slips for second straight day as Oil spike revives inflation fears
The Pound Sterling retreats during the North American session, down 0.22% against the Greenback, as geopolitical tensions remained high, triggering a jump in Oil prices and heightening fears of a reacceleration of inflation. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3449 after peaking near 1.3480.