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Japanese Yen: BoJ hints at faster hikes – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that Bank of Japan (BoJ) officials are reported open to raising rates faster than economists expected as Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness lifts inflation risks.
WTI Price Forecast: Middle East tensions lift Oil as bulls test 100-day SMA
WTI extends its rebound on Wednesday as rising tensions in the Middle East disrupt Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $86.20 after reaching an intraday high of $87.83, its highest level since June 11.
United Kingdom: Core CPI resilience complicates BoE path – Nomura
Nomura strategists analyse the latest United Kingdom (UK) June inflation data, noting headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell to 2.6% as the Bank of England expected, but core and services inflation stayed sticky.
Hungarian Forint: NBH easing path shapes HUF prospects – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky reports the National Bank of Hungary (MNB) cut rates to 5.75% and confirmed dovish guidance, signaling further easing in August and possibly beyond. Markets have accepted renewed rate-cut pricing, and ING expects more dovish repricing.
Bank of England: Wait-and-see stance holds – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economist Sam Cartwright analyzes June United Kingdom (UK) inflation, noting headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 2.6% year-on-year, below Bank of England (BoE) projections, with core inflation steady at 2.6%.
Indian Rupee: Carry appeal capped by Oil risk – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu notes that India’s central bank (RBI) has stepped in to support the Indian Rupee (INR) as rising energy costs threaten external balances and FX volatility. iFlow shows INR is currently underheld versus earlier in the year.
Japanese Yen: Hawkish BoJ signals versus Fed risk – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses Japanese Yen (JPY) prospects, focusing on USD/JPY. Foley highlight that intervention by the Ministry of Finance (MoF) alone is unlikely to change the pair’s direction without improved Japanese fundamentals.
British Pound: Heavy trade as BoE seen adjusting – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes the British Pound (GBP) remains heavy versus the US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) after a mixed United Kingdom (UK) June Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, with headline inflation cooling but core and services measures still sticky.
Euro: Drifting toward ECB test – ING
Chris Turner at ING notes EUR/USD has held up relatively well despite energy price gains and wider natural gas prices.
South Africa Retail Sales (YoY) increased to 2.3% in May from previous 1.3%
South Africa Retail Sales (YoY) increased to 2.3% in May from previous 1.3%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to 1.9% in July 17 from previous -2.7%
United States MBA Mortgage Applications increased to 1.9% in July 17 from previous -2.7%
Euro holds near five-week highs against Yen despite BoJ tightening rumours
The Euro (EUR) reversed earlier gains against the Japanese Yen (JPY) on Wednesday, following hawkish comments by Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) policymakers. The pair, however, remains a few pips below 186.00 at the time of writing, with the five-week high of 186.19 at a short distance.
World Bank warns of risks of global slowdown, renewed inflation
The World Bank warned that the global economy is only "a few months" away from a worst-case scenario in which global growth slows to 1.3% while inflation rises to 4.5%, according to comments by Chief Economist Indermit Gill reported by Reuters.