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British Pound: Improved UK growth-inflation mix backs Sterling – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that GBP/USD is consolidating near 1.3300 as United Kingdom (UK) data signal a more favourable growth-inflation mix.
Mexico Jobless Rate s.a increased to 2.8% in June from previous 2.7%
Mexico Jobless Rate s.a increased to 2.8% in June from previous 2.7%
Mexico Jobless Rate above expectations (2.8%) in June: Actual (2.9%)
Mexico Jobless Rate above expectations (2.8%) in June: Actual (2.9%)
Euro: ECB hawkish but EUR still disadvantaged against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe that while the European Central Bank (ECB) left rates unchanged in July and is expected to deliver at least one more 25 bp hike to 2.50% in September, rising energy prices still tilt terms-of-trade in favor of the US Dollar (USD) over the Euro (EUR).
Federal Reserve: Holding rates while watching inflation risks – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner expects the Federal Reserve to leave the policy rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the upcoming meeting, while debating potential hikes if inflation fails to ease.
European Central Bank: September hike seen as highly likely – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that the European Central Bank (ECB) kept its deposit rate at 2.25%, while its communication continued to leave the door open to further tightening.
New Zealand Dollar rebounds but upside remains limited as US Dollar stays supported
NZD/USD trades around 0.5790 on Friday at the time of writing, up 0.27% on the day as the pair recovers from a one-and-a-half-week low, although bullish momentum remains limited by the underlying strength of the US Dollar (USD).
“Still see probability of rate hike higher than hold”: ECB’s Simkus expresses hawkish bias on rates
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and head of Lithuania's central bank, Gediminas Simkus, said during European trading hours on Friday that the chances of an interest rate hike in the near term are higher than maintaining the status quo.
Breaking: United States S&P Global Composite PMI improves to 53.6 in July
Business activity in the United States' (US) private sector expanded at an accelerating pace in July, with the S&P Global Composite Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) improving to 53.6 (preliminary) from 51.9 in June.
Turkish Lira: Tight CBRT funding offers marginal support – Commerzbank
According to Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose, the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye (CBRT) kept its one-week repo rate at 37.0% and maintained the corridor at 35.5%-40.0%. With the repo window still closed, effective funding remains near 40%, which Ghose views as Lira-supportive.
Euro holds steady vs British Pound after stronger Eurozone, UK data
EUR/GBP trades around 0.8550 at the time of writing on Friday, remaining broadly stable despite a series of stronger-than-expected economic releases from the Eurozone and the United Kingdom (UK).
Japanese Yen remains pinned near 40-year low as Fed-BoJ rate gap keeps carry trade active
The USD/JPY pair edges lower on Friday as bulls turn cautious in anticipation of a potential government intervention to prop up the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Euro: Rate support seen fading gradually against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny says the ECB’s latest communication supports a likely September rate hike, now almost fully priced, but warns that Euro support may fade as energy costs rise.