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Oil: Tightness turning critical – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem argue that global Oil product markets have shifted from tight to critical. They link East-West pipeline disruptions, Russian outages, elevated freight and low inventories to structurally constrained supply.
Canadian Dollar remains under pressure as hawkish Fed contrasts with steady BoC
USD/CAD holds firm near the 1.4000 psychological mark on Monday as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish outlook and widening US-Canada interest-rate differentials keep the Canadian Dollar (CAD) on the back foot.
US Dollar: Oil-driven support as Fed seen hiking – ING
ING strategist Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar remains supported as ING now expects the Fed to deliver one final rate hike in December. Despite near-term upside risks for the Dollar, ING keeps a gradually negative longer-term view and anticipates lower energy prices in Q4.
Brent: Diesel signals higher prices – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem highlight a sharp divergence between physical Brent and futures, with Dated Brent trading at a substantial premium. They note that Diesel strength implies Brent should be above $150/bbl to restore historical refining economics.
New Zealand Dollar wavers near two-month lows despite a brighter market mood
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) languishes just above two-and-a-half-month lows against the US Dollar (USD), despite a somewhat brighter market mood, as a sustained reversal in Oil prices has eased risk aversion on Monday.
WTI Oil dips below $94.00 amid reports of higher Saudi crude supplies
Crude prices extend their decline for the fourth consecutive day on Monday, pushing the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil to levels just below $94.00 during the European session.
Dow Jones futures rise as lower crude oil prices improve market sentiment
Dow Jones futures gain by 0.60% to trade near 52,390 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures advance by 0.57% to trade around 7,760, while Nasdaq 100 futures rise by 0.86% to trade near 30,170.
Oil: Supply risks linger despite recovering Saudi flows - OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong observes that weekend attacks targeting Saudi Arabia have revived supply and geopolitical concerns in Oil markets.
Euro remains capped below 1.1500 amid growing political uncertainty in Germany
The Euro (EUR) consolidates losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as market concerns about the sharp defeat of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s ruling party in state elections in northeastern Germany have offset the positive impact of lower Oil prices.
WTI Price Forecast: Drops to over one-week low, below $94.00 but bullish bias stays intact
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – turns lower for the fourth straight day following a modest gap-up open to the $96.55-$96.60 region and drops to an over one-week low during the Asian session on Monday.
Iran’s IRGC warns any new strike will prompt Tehran to alter war geography and armaments
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) warned that any new military attack could trigger a response fought across a different geographical area and with different weapons, Reuters reported on Monday.
Indian Rupeee gains due to further correction in oil prices
The Indian Rupee (INR) starts the week on a positive note against the US Dollar (USD). The USD/INR pair drops to near 95.75 as the Indian currency gains due to continuous support from correcting oil prices.
US President Donald Trump says was ready to strike Houthis in Yemen, then pulled back
US President Donald Trump reversed himself twice on whether the United States (US) should strike the Houthis in Yemen, according to the New York Times.