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United States: Weak payrolls and softer retail sales – TD Securities
TD Securities notes July payrolls surprised sharply to the downside, with headline jobs dragged by government hiring, while private employment stayed near breakeven.
Mexican Peso rally pauses ahead of US inflation report
The Mexican Peso (MXN) loses some ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday as traders book profits after a worse-than-expected US jobs report last week and as eyes turn to the release of US inflation figures on Wednesday.
LatAm FX: Carry window opens with caveats – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu and David Tam argue that a more dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) and weaker United States (US) labor data have improved conditions for Latin American (LatAm) carry trades, but broken correlations with commodities and lingering inflation risks limit momentum.
US President Trump says Iran should pay for regional damage
United States (US) President Donald Trump used a post on his Truth Social platform to push back on Iran's demands for war reparations, arguing that Tehran, not Washington, should carry the bill for the damage and lives lost across the region.
Japanese Yen weakens as surprise current account deficit weighs
USD/JPY advances 0.73% on Monday and trades around 158.95 at the time of writing.
The Canadian Dollar takes back two months in ten sessions
The Canadian Dollar trades at its strongest against the US Dollar since the second week of June, with the rate holding just above 1.3900 into the afternoon.
British Pound climbs as Hormuz talks stall, US CPI in focus
The Pound Sterling (GBP) advances during the North American session on Monday, up 0.2% as markets digest developments in the Middle East and await crucial inflation data in the United States (US). The GBP/USD pair trades at 1.3520 after bouncing off daily lows of 1.3483.
Emerging Markets: Selectivity key as Fed path clouds – HSBC
HSBC Asset Management notes that Emerging Market local-currency bonds have delivered strong returns over the past four years, supported by credible policies and attractive real yields, but year-to-date performance has softened as US Treasury yields rose and EM-US real rate differentials narrowed.
Denmark: Tax cuts keep inflation below the euro area – Nordea
Nordea economist Jan Størup Nielsen notes that Danish inflation eased slightly in July, with headline consumer prices up 1.7% year-over-year and core inflation steady at 2.3%.
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Bearish pressure builds below 1.4000
USD/CAD trades on the back foot on Monday even as the US Dollar (USD) regains some ground after weakening last week following softer-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. Attention now turns to Wednesday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report.
Eurozone: Resilient data but growth risks weigh on Euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes Eurozone Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data surprised to the upside, suggesting resilience despite higher energy prices and supply disruptions.
Australian Dollar stays flat ahead of RBA rate decision
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades near the 0.7060 level against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, giving back a little ground after six straight weeks of gains.
Euro holds ground against US Dollar amid Fed uncertainty ahead of US CPI
EUR/USD treads water on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) steadies following its post-NFP weakness, while Oil prices rise amid uncertainty over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1553, virtually unchanged on the day.