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NZD/USD extends losses below 0.5800 as hopes of a US-Iran peace deal ebb

  • The NZD/USD dips below 0.5800 with hopes of a Middle East peace deal fading.
  • Iran has hardened its stance on a peace deal with the US and denied any negotiations while attacks continue.
  • The risk-averse market is boosting the US Dollar across the board on Thursday.


The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) heads south against the US Dollar (USD) for the third consecutive day, extending its reversal from last week's highs, a few pips short of 0.5900, to session lows at 0.5781 on Thursday’s European trading session.

The risk-sensitive Kiwi has been hit by a sour market sentiment following Iran’s rejection of the US 15-point plan to end the war in the Middle East. Furthermore, Iran’s Foreign Minister, Abbas Araghchi, denied any negotiations with the US until the bombing continues

Trump has urged Iranian negotiations to “get serious” in a Truth Social post following threats of “hitting harder” if the Islamic Republic fails to accept his conditions. Meanwhile, Israeli aviation has bombed eastern Iran while Iran has launched fresh missile and drone attacks on Israel.

Iran, on the other hand, has presented its own peace plan, demanding guarantees against future military action, compensation for war damages, and formal control of the Strait of Hormuz. Apart from that, the Islamic Republic is willing to include a ceasefire in Lebanon as a request to end the conflict.

The economic calendar has been practically void in New Zealand, and the focus will be on the Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Survey, due later on Thursday. In the US, the weekly Jobless Claims report and an array of Federal Reserve (Fed) speakers might provide some distraction from the geopolitical crisis.

(This story was corrected on March 26 at 13:40 GMT to say that Iran has launched fresh missile and drone attacks on Israel, and not on Iran as previously reported.)


Economic Indicator

Initial Jobless Claims

The Initial Jobless Claims released by the US Department of Labor is a measure of the number of people filing first-time claims for state unemployment insurance. A larger-than-expected number indicates weakness in the US labor market, reflects negatively on the US economy, and is negative for the US Dollar (USD). On the other hand, a decreasing number should be taken as bullish for the USD.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Mar 26, 2026 12:30

Frequency: Weekly

Consensus: 210K

Previous: 205K

Source: US Department of Labor

Every Thursday, the US Department of Labor publishes the number of previous week’s initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US. Since this reading could be highly volatile, investors may pay closer attention to the four-week average. A downtrend is seen as a sign of an improving labour market and could have a positive impact on the USD’s performance against its rivals and vice versa.

Economic Indicator

Fed's Cook speech

Lisa D. Cook is a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve system. She took office on May 23, 2022, to fill an unexpired term ending January 31, 2024. Dr. Cook was a professor of economics and international relations at Michigan State University. She was also a research associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Mar 26, 2026 20:00

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

Economic Indicator

Fed's Miran speech

Stephen Miran is a member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve system, taking office from September 2025 to fill the vacancy left by Adriana Kugler. Miran, who was nominated by President Donald Trump, has served as the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers.

Read more.

Next release: Thu Mar 26, 2026 22:30

Frequency: Irregular

Consensus: -

Previous: -

Source: Federal Reserve

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NZD/USD extends losses below 0.5800 as hopes of a US-Iran peace deal ebb

The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) heads south against the US Dollar (USD) for the third consecutive day, extending its reversal from last week's highs, a few pips short of 0.5900, to session lows at 0.5781 on Thursday’s European trading session.The risk-sensitive Kiwi has been hit by a sour market sentim

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USD: War-driven bid and funding stress risks – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes renewed risk aversion is lifting the Dollar as the Iran conflict escalates, with Oil higher and global equities and bonds weaker.

挪威克朗:挪威央行暗示今年可能加息 – 道明证券

道明证券报告称,挪威央行将政策利率维持在4.00%,符合预期,但将指引转向2026年至少加息一次的基本情景。该行强调国内通胀压力和能源冲击是主要驱动因素,而中东冲突的不确定性推迟了行动。挪威央行的下一次会议现被视为关键会议。