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Euro: Elusive recovery prospects against US Dollar – ING
Francesco Pesole at ING observes that EUR/USD has moved back above 1.120 on Dollar softness, but the Euro still struggles against other European currencies as markets keep pricing a French fiscal premium. He argues that French political and bond-market risks may persist, and ING still sees scope for EUR/USD to test the 1.110/1.112 area in the near term.
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $747.56B to $734.61B in September 28
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $747.56B to $734.61B in September 28
India Bank Loan Growth: 19.4% (September 14) vs 18.1%
India Bank Loan Growth: 19.4% (September 14) vs 18.1%
Mexican Peso: Banxico cautious on cuts as Peso risks linger – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Norman Liebke notes Banxico’s September minutes signal a board leaning toward further easing, though the policy rate stayed at 6.5%. He argues it is too early to see a clear November cut, given US elections, geopolitical risks and energy prices.
Canadian Dollar: Policy divergence weighs on CAD against US Dollar – Rabobank
Rabobank strategists Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence note that the recent USD/CAD rally reflects broad US Dollar (USD) strength rather than specific Canadian Dollar (CAD) weakness, with the pair consolidating near 1.425 after failing to break 1.43.
Australian Dollar struggles to extend gains to near 0.7000, US CPI comes into focus
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is up 0.3% at around 0.6980 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday. However, the pair is struggling to extend gains beyond 0.6990.
Portugal Global Trade Balance down to €-9.619B in August from previous €-9.51B
Portugal Global Trade Balance down to €-9.619B in August from previous €-9.51B
Swiss Franc: Range trade bias holds against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/CHF shows slightly increased downside momentum, with scope to test 0.8290 but limited odds of a sustained break lower. For the coming days, they maintain that USD/CHF has likely entered a range-trading phase between 0.8245 and 0.8365, while over the 1–3 month horizon they see the pair continuing to rebound but lacking strength to revisit the July peak.
Euro: China trade tensions and CNY strength pose downside risks - MUFG
MUFG's Derek Halpenny highlights Europe's economic resilience following Germany's upward Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth revisions but warns that potential European Union (EU) import restrictions and additional tariffs on Chinese goods could escalate trade tensions and weigh on the Euro (EUR).
Romanian Leu: Coalition hopes support RON assets – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note the National Bank of Romania (NBR) kept its policy rate at 6.50% and reinforced a hawkish stance as earlier inflation risks are now part of the baseline.
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP signals weigh on PLN – Commerzbank
Tatha Ghose at Commerzbank describes NBP Governor Glapinski’s latest press conference as a net dovish surprise versus expectations for a clearer hike signal.
Canadian Dollar: Jobs data and BoC path – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects Canada’s September jobs report to show a modest payroll rebound and slightly higher unemployment, not enough to justify an October Bank of Canada hike. He notes that a December move is fully priced, while USD/CAD remains dominated by the Dollar, with a sustained move below 1.420 seen as requiring better global bond conditions.
British Pound: Mild downside bias against US Dollar - UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that GBP/USD has held modest gains around 1.3230, but recent guidance from the Bank of England on higher-for-longer rates has not translated into a clear bullish trend.