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British Pound: Limited support from BoE policy – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that the Bank of England kept rates unchanged and avoided signalling future hikes, despite a closer-than-expected 6–3 vote and Governor Bailey’s insistence that the BoE is not edging toward tightening.
Federal Reserve: Prolonged pause with hike risks – UOB
UOB strategists observe that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% for a fifth meeting, with a 9–3 split as three presidents sought a 25 bps hike.
Portugal Consumer Price Index (MoM): -0.5% (July) vs previous 0.1%
Portugal Consumer Price Index (MoM): -0.5% (July) vs previous 0.1%
Portugal Consumer Price Index (YoY) fell from previous 3.2% to 3% in July
Portugal Consumer Price Index (YoY) fell from previous 3.2% to 3% in July
Forex Today: Japanese Yen retreats after rallying on suspected intervention, BoJ holds steady
Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 31:
Japanese Yen: Intervention risks and BoJ stance – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart note that the Japanese Yen surged as USD/JPY dropped from 163.00 to 158.00, in a move they attribute to probable Ministry of Finance intervention during New York trading.
Spain Current Account Balance: €1.84B (May) vs previous €1.88B
Spain Current Account Balance: €1.84B (May) vs previous €1.88B
Turkey Foreign Arrivals: -4.02% (June) vs previous -3.58%
Turkey Foreign Arrivals: -4.02% (June) vs previous -3.58%
Norway Registered Unemployment s.a climbed from previous 77.535K to 79.275K in July
Norway Registered Unemployment s.a climbed from previous 77.535K to 79.275K in July
Italy Consumer Confidence registered at 94.2 above expectations (92.5) in July
Italy Consumer Confidence registered at 94.2 above expectations (92.5) in July
Italy Business Confidence above expectations (88.9) in July: Actual (89.6)
Italy Business Confidence above expectations (88.9) in July: Actual (89.6)
Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. above expectations (6.3%) in June: Actual (6.4%)
Germany Unemployment Rate s.a. above expectations (6.3%) in June: Actual (6.4%)
Germany Unemployment Change came in at 6K, above forecasts (5K) in June
Germany Unemployment Change came in at 6K, above forecasts (5K) in June