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Euro: Pressured yet systemic risk contained – DBS
DBS strategist Philip Wee explains that EUR/USD’s four-week decline reflects shifting risk balances, with renewed Federal Reserve (Fed) tightening overshadowing the European Central Bank (ECB) and France’s fiscal issues overshadowing US concerns.
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Holds below 0.8320 as the Swissie withstands bonds selloff
The Swiss Franc (CHF) has retraced previous losses on Monday and trades practically flat against the US Dollar (USD), hardly affected by the bond market turmoil that has crushed investors’ appètite for risk.
Brazilian Real: Election surprise supports BRL against US Dollar – ING
ING’s Chris Turner says Brazilian assets are set to rally after Sunday’s presidential vote, where Flavio Bolsonaro secured 47% versus President Lula’s 45%. He expects markets to assume remaining votes lean Bolsonaro, sees currency and bonds benefiting from his fiscal austerity and deregulation agenda, and projects USD/BRL opening near 5.10, with a return to 4.90 seen as too aggressive.
Swiss Franc: Tight range expected against US Dollar - UOB
United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategist Quek Ser Leang notes USD/CHF reversed sharply from 0.8382 to close at 0.8286, with intraday price action expected to edge lower toward 0.8245 while staying above 0.8225.
CEE FX: Hawkish holds and cautious easing path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists expect a hawkish hold from Poland’s National Bank of Poland (NBP) at 3.75% and no change from Romania’s central bank NBR at 6.50%, as inflation and political uncertainty constrain policy flexibility.
ECB’s Nagel: No clear ​signs that inflation has fed through to price and wage setting
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said in a speech in Sorrento, Italy during the European trading session on Monday that the impact of energy shock-driven inflation has yet not fed into wage growth.
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Consolidates below 158.00 as bullish bias persists
The USD/JPY pair struggles to capitalize on Friday's bounce from sub-157.00 levels, touched in reaction to the weak US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, and seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses through the first half of the European session.
Euro: Fiscal risks cap upside against British Pound – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses EUR/GBP in light of divergent fiscal and political risks in Europe and the United Kingdom (UK).
Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 5.8% to 8.2% in August
Eurozone Producer Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 5.8% to 8.2% in August
Eurozone Producer Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (1.9%) in August
Eurozone Producer Price Index (MoM) meets expectations (1.9%) in August
Breaking: US ISM Services PMI declines to 54.9 in September
Fresh data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed the Services PMI weakening to 54.9 in September from 55.4 in the previous month, coming in below previous estimates (55) and signalling a slight loss of momentum in the sector.
Euro attempts to regain the 1.1200 level following mixed Services activity data
The Euro (EUR) maintains its bearish tone against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, following a string of mixed Services Activity figures and weak Investor Confidence data, with concerns about France's fiscal health weighing heavily.
Australian Dollar recovers despite Yen gains, Japan vows fiscal prudence
The Australian Dollar (AUD) bounces back strongly against the Japanese Yen (JPY) and flattens at around 109.80 during the European trading session on Monday.