Market News
Stay on top of the major news, data and analysis moving forex and global financial markets.
Forecasting the coming week: ECB decision, UK inflation, and global PMIs to drive markets
The upcoming week will be dominated by the European Central Bank’s (ECB) interest rate decision, United Kingdom (UK) inflation and labor market figures, and preliminary global Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data.
Dow Jones Industrial Average fades its own good news as the hawks take the last word
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades near 52,250 on Friday, down nearly 300 points late in the month's strangest session.
US Dollar Index holds as mixed US data limits upside
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades nearly unchanged around 100.70 on Friday after surrendering part of its initial advance.
US Dollar: Risk-off support and DXY downside risks – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is broadly firmer as risk aversion dominates, with equities weaker and Oil higher.
US Dollar: Low volatility risks and summer outlook – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note that DXY-weighted short-term implied volatility has dropped to 2021 levels, despite geopolitical tensions and Federal Reserve risks. Pesole argues that AI-driven equity resilience is anchoring currencies and supporting carry trades.
Breaking: UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen improving to 54.4 in July
American consumer confidence regained momentum in early July, as households grew more optimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.
US Dollar: Steadies on risk-off flows – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes that the Dollar has recovered part of this week’s losses as a tech-led equity selloff spurs a modest flight to safety.
US Dollar: Smile narrative supports gradual gains – OCBC
OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) remains supported by its yield advantage and safe-haven status, with FX moves still fitting the USD smile framework.
US Dollar: Fed path and inflation risks – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics, led by Tom Porcelli and colleagues, expects the Federal Reserve to keep the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% through year-end 2027, with 10-year Treasury yields near 4.35% in 2026 and 4.30% in 2027.
Dow Jones futures slip ahead of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index
Dow Jones futures fall by 0.65% to trade around 52,440 during European trading hours on Friday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures decline 0.88% and 1.69%, trading near 7,510 and 28,730, respectively. Traders await the preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for July.
United States Dollar Index Price Forecast: Loses traction near 23.6% Fibo., near 100.85
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts some sellers following an uptick on Friday, stalling its recovery from a nearly one-month trough, around the 100.35 region touched earlier this week.
United States Dollar Index consolidates above 100.50 as traders look to Trump's speech
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen oscillating in a narrow range just above the 100.50 level as traders await US President Donald Trump's speech.
Fed’s Jefferson: Current policy is well positioned to respond, based on incoming data
Federal Reserve (Fed) Vice Chair Philip Jefferson said that the current policy stance should support the job market and allow inflation to resume decline toward 2% as tariff effects and energy prices pass through, Reuters reported on Thursday.