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Euro weakens as ECB stays on hold, while Iran war boosts US Dollar
EUR/USD trades around 1.1385 on Thursday after the European Central Bank (ECB) left its key interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations.
United States weekly Initial Jobless Claims decline to 187K vs. 212K expected
There were 187,000 Initial Jobless Claims in the week ending July 18, the US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday. This print followed the previous week's reading of 209,000 and came in much better than the market expectation of 212,000.
Canada Retail Sales (MoM) meets forecasts (1%) in May
Canada Retail Sales (MoM) meets forecasts (1%) in May
Australian Dollar: Limited upside as RBA priced – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights the strong year-to-date performance of the Australian Dollar (AUD), supported by the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish stance and Australia’s commodity-linked profile.
Japanese Yen: Gradual appreciation path after extended weakness – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that the Japanese Yen remains historically weak, with USD/JPY above 162 and EUR/JPY near 186, but still forecasts gradual appreciation over the coming quarters.
Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Euro: Recovery led by spot demand – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the Euro is stabilizing ahead of the ECB decision, with improving spot flow and hedge unwinding supporting Eurozone assets. However, forward and swaps demand remain weak, limiting conviction.
India M3 Money Supply: 12.5% (July 6) vs previous 13%
India M3 Money Supply: 12.5% (July 6) vs previous 13%
European Central Bank: Hawkish ECB pricing supports Euro – MUFG
Lee Hardman at MUFG notes that Euro-zone yields have climbed to fresh year-to-date highs ahead of the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with markets pricing 2–3 further rate hikes and almost fully discounting another move in September.
South African Rand: SARB resolve key for rand – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur sees it as almost certain that South African Reserve Bank (SARB) will hike 25 bps to 7.25%, reversing a third of its 2024–25 easing after inflation re-accelerated on fuel and core components above target.
Canadian Dollar: Retail sales set to beat consensus – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists look for Canadian Retail Sales to rise 1.1% month-on-month in May, slightly above the 1.0% consensus, driven by higher gasoline prices and a rebound in core spending.
Turkey CBRT Interest Rate Decision in line with forecasts (37%)
Turkey CBRT Interest Rate Decision in line with forecasts (37%)