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The Euro is not rallying, the British Pound Sterling is being demoted
The Euro is on track for its eighth gain in nine sessions against the Pound, and the explanation that would normally cover a run of that length is not available.
Euro skyrockets amid softer US confidence
EUR/USD trades higher near the 1.1400 area on Tuesday, gaining around 0.3% as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following softer United States (US) consumer-confidence data. The US Dollar Index falls toward 101.30, helping the Euro extend its recovery.
Australian Dollar holds onto losses after Bullock keeps further rate hikes on the table
AUD/USD trades lower near the 0.6970 area on Tuesday, falling around 0.3% as the Australian Dollar (AUD) comes under pressure despite hawkish remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock.
British Pound Sterling has nothing to say in front of two central banks
The Pound trades near 1.3300 in the New York morning, effectively flat on a session that has run barely 30 pips between a floor a shade above 1.3250 and a ceiling fractionally above the 1.3300 handle.
British Pound: Bearish reversal extends before BoE – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report GBP/USD is extending its bearish reversal toward early-July levels as markets scale back Bank of England (BoE) tightening expectations. September pricing has been cut and cumulative hikes by December reduced.
Australian Dollar: RBA keeps hike option alive – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock signaled a possible rate hike at the August 10–11 meeting, stressing inflation is still too high and productivity weak.
Canadian Dollar benefits from softer US Dollar despite lower Oil prices
USD/CAD trades near 1.4105 on Tuesday at the time of writing, down 0.14% on the day, though the pair remains close to its recent highs as traders refrain from taking aggressive positions ahead of the Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision.
Federal Reserve: Knife-edge policy risks surprise – ING
ING’s Padhraic Garvey expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to leave rates unchanged at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with odds seen around 60:40 for no move.
Euro: Pressured by softer ECB expectations – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight a softer Euro (EUR), with EUR/USD drifting toward the mid-1.13s and levels last seen in May 2025.
Why hot Australian inflation could reignite the Reserve Bank of Australia hike debate
The Australian Dollar (AUD) is balancing stickier-than-expected domestic inflation against broader global market volatility.
United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index below forecasts (10) in July: Actual (5)
United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index below forecasts (10) in July: Actual (5)
Australian Dollar: RBA pause risk weighs on Aussie – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that Australian Dollar (AUD) is underperforming after Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock balanced a hawkish bias with a message of patience, noting easing domestic demand and labour conditions.
Canadian Dollar: Limited upside for CAD against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note USD/CAD is trading near fair value around 1.4115, with the Canadian Dollar (CAD) constrained by wide short-term rate differentials versus the Dollar.