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Euro set for third weekly decline as hawkish Federal Reserve outlook weighs
EUR/USD edges higher on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) pauses after a strong weekly rally, allowing the Euro (EUR) to recover some ground. However, the pair remains on track for a third consecutive weekly decline.
Australian Dollar: RBA hike expectations shape outlook – ING
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise rates by 25bp, citing a still-hot economy, tight labour market conditions and upside surprises in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and inflation.
Australian Dollar rebounds from 0.7000 as US Dollar eases after strong week
AUD/USD edges higher on Friday, trading around 0.7025 at the time of writing, up 0.20% on the day.
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations meets forecasts (4.6%) in September
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations meets forecasts (4.6%) in September
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation meets expectations (3.4%) in September
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation meets expectations (3.4%) in September
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index above forecasts (47.6) in September: Actual (48.1)
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index above forecasts (47.6) in September: Actual (48.1)
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index registered at 46.3 above expectations (0) in September
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index registered at 46.3 above expectations (0) in September
Mexican Peso: Banxico stance keeps bar high for hikes – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that Banxico left its policy rate at 6.50% for a third consecutive meeting and removed prior guidance to keep it fixed, while stressing it does not need to match expected Federal Reserve hikes.
Japanese Yen: Pressure persists toward 159.60 against US Dollar - UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/JPY has risen for five straight sessions to 158.83, with momentum still positive but indicators deeply overbought.
Euro: Credibility restored supports Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that the Fed’s unanimous September rate hike has temporarily restored its credibility and supported the Dollar, prompting a lower EUR/USD year-end forecast to 1.15 from 1.17.
Indian Rupee: RBI interventions cap losses against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale reports USD/INR has repeatedly tested 96.00 but failed to break higher as the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) maintained a visible presence in the FX market through interventions.
Japanese Yen: Range-bound against US Dollar as intervention risk looms – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that political comments from US and Japanese leaders helped push USD/JPY back below its 200-day moving average.
Australian Dollar: Weakness may extend toward 0.6970 against US Dollar - UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD extended its recent slide to 0.7006, with positive divergence hinting at slowing momentum but not yet a clear base.

