US yields: Real rates climb on Fed credibility – BNY Markets

BNY Markets’ John Velis observes that US real yields across the curve have risen sharply, driven more by expectations of further policy tightening than by inflation fears. Markets see the Fed and other central banks reacting to inflation, pushing long-term yields higher while breakevens stay rangebound. Robust growth, AI-related capex and contained term premia also support higher real rates.