MUFG’s Lee Hardman and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart note the US Dollar (USD) is trading close to year-to-date highs as markets debate whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will follow its hawkish rhetoric with actual rate hikes.
The Euro (EUR) trades lower against the US Dollar (USD) for the fourth consecutive day on Thursday, as investors’ hopes of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes drive markets ahead of the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
NZD/USD trades around 0.5640, declining for a seventh consecutive day and hovering near its lowest levels since November 2025. The pair remains under pressure in an environment dominated by a resilient US Dollar (USD) and persistent risk aversion across financial markets.
United States (US) Secretary of State Marco Rubio reiterates after meeting with leaders from Gulf nations that Iran’s toll system near the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage to almost 20% of global energy supply, is unacceptable.
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that enhanced Federal Reserve communication has lowered average implied volatility in the US Dollar but concentrated it on FOMC meeting days.
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights persistent Polish Zloty weakness versus Central and Eastern European (CEE) peers as EUR/PLN breaks above its prior range toward 4.290. He attributes vulnerability to the National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) dovish stance and global risk-off conditions.
South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 4.8% to 7.8% in May
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Thursday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $57.61 per troy ounce, up 0.31% from the $57.43 it cost on Wednesday.
South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM) dipped from previous 3% to 2.6% in May
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that USD/JPY remains in a range near recent highs, with intraday trading expected between 161.40 and 161.90 after a 161.46–161.83 session.
Societe Generale analysts note that Gold has broken below its 200-day moving average and the March trough, triggering an accelerated decline. Prices are drifting toward last October’s $3,930–3,885 support zone, with a potential rebound hinging on holding this area.
The USD/CHF pair trades 0.16% lower at around 0.8110 during the European trading session on Thursday after correcting from its 10-month high of 0.8140 posted the previous day. The broader outlook of the Swiss Franc pair remains firm due to continued outperformance by the US Dollar (USD).
