Fed’s Kashkari: “I have one rate hike penciled in for 2026”

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari said during a panel discussion at the Aspen Ideas Festival 2026 in Aspen, Colorado, that he remains concerned about inflation in the service sector, while also noting some signs of improvement in the labor market.

FED
Dow Jones Industrial Average wins the week by playing defence

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is closing the week as the last major US index standing, having rallied more than 1% to settle just below 52,000, with the record high near 52,300 still in view. That reads as strength until you ask where the buying is coming from.

Thai Baht: Stabilizes on inflows after export miss – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thailand section notes May exports rose 10.6% year-on-year, below consensus and sharply slower than April’s 23.1%, with agriculture shipments weak but electronics still resilient. The government forecasts exports to grow 8% in 2026 as front-loading fades.

Philippines: Stagflation risks as prices surge – HSBC

HSBC strategists warn that the Philippines is flirting with stagflation, as slowing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth coincides with the highest inflation in ASEAN. Weak public spending and cautious households are dragging demand, while the labour market softens.

Vietnam: Solid GDP and easing inflation backdrop – DBS

DBS Group Research forecasts Vietnam’s real GDP to grow 7.8% year-on-year in Q2 2026, matching Q1’s pace, supported by strong electronics manufacturing, AI-driven tech demand, FDI and resilient retail spending.

GDP
Taiwan: Undervalued TWD with rotational flows – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY notes that Taiwan’s strong equity performance in 2026 has coincided with net institutional outflows, mainly from U.S. pensions and hedge funds, while APAC and EMEA investors provide support.

The Japanese Yen got its hike; Tokyo still has to do the rest

USD/JPY ended the week pressing the 162.00 handle, a whisker beneath its multi-decade high, and the more revealing detail is what it took to drag the Yen up there: a Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike that was billed as the turning point.

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