Noticias del mercado
Mantente al día de las noticias, datos y análisis que mueven el forex y los mercados financieros globales.
Mexican Peso: Stays under pressure as Banxico lags Fed – ING
Chris Turner at ING highlights that the Mexican Peso has been the weakest emerging market currency since early September, hurt by dovish Banxico rhetoric and narrowing policy spreads versus the Federal Reserve. Without a hawkish surprise at the 5 November meeting, he expects MXN to remain vulnerable, with IMF-flagged US tech exposure adding pressure and USD/MXN seen heading toward the 19.00–19.10 area in coming weeks.
Canada Retail Sales (MoM) below expectations (1.3%) in August: Actual (1.2%)
Canada Retail Sales (MoM) below expectations (1.3%) in August: Actual (1.2%)
Canada Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) came in at 1.2%, above forecasts (1%) in August
Canada Retail Sales ex Autos (MoM) came in at 1.2%, above forecasts (1%) in August
Euro: Gradual upside as Fed and ECB converge – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists, led by Dr. Jörg Krämer and colleagues, expect the Fed and ECB to keep rates unchanged in October but deliver 25 bps hikes in December, with policy then staying slightly restrictive as inflation trends lower into 2027.
Brazil Mid-month Inflation came in at 0.32% below forecasts (0.43%) in October
Brazil Mid-month Inflation came in at 0.32% below forecasts (0.43%) in October
The US Dollar holds the yield advantage: Why safe-haven demand still sank it against the Japanese Yen
The US Dollar (USD) has experienced a sharp setback against the Japanese Yen (JPY), with USD/JPY plunging from the 158.20 area to intraday lows around 156.08 as falling US Treasury yields and a spike in geopolitical risk aversion triggered aggressive safe-haven demand for the Yen.
British Pound: BoE tightening expectations questioned – BBH
Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman notes GBP/USD is weaker on broad Dollar strength, even as UK PMI beats and supports expectations for a 25 bps BOE hike to 4.00% in November. He argues the swaps market is overpricing future tightening, citing below-capacity growth, weak real wages, a near-neutral policy rate and likely fiscal restraint as headwinds for the Pound.
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $726.03B to $721.02B in October 12
India FX Reserves, USD fell from previous $726.03B to $721.02B in October 12
Australian Dollar: Consolidation limits gains against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank strategists (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD has entered a short-term consolidation after recent gains, with intraday trade expected between 0.6995 and 0.7030. Over 1–3 weeks they remain constructive but note slowing upward momentum and risk that a break below 0.6985 would put the 0.7070 target out of reach, while longer-term EMAs still warn of downside toward prior lows.
Australian Dollar edges up against US Dollar ahead of US flash PMI data
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades marginally higher at around 0.7018 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trade on Friday.
Russia Interest Rate Decision meets expectations (14%)
Russia Interest Rate Decision meets expectations (14%)
British Pound underperforms despite upbeat UK flash PMI report
The British Pound (GBP) is down against its major currency peers on Friday, trading 0.1% lower at around 1.3380 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trade.
Japanese Yen: Strong CPI backs BoJ hikes as USD range set to hold - BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH) strategist Elias Haddad describes the Japanese Yen (JPY) as leading gains and acting as an ultimate refuge currency, supported by hotter Consumer Price Index (CPI) and steady Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data that back additional Bank of Japan (BoJ) hikes. However, with inflation still below BoJ projections and limited near-term hike odds, he expects USD/JPY to hold in a defined range unless risk-off intensifies.